Wednesday, November 29, 2006

What’s In Your Wallet?

What’s In Your Wallet?

The results are in on the first few days of the holiday shopping season and depending upon your economic barometer you
may or may not be surprised. The fear was that the housing slowdown might dampen consumer spirits. According to one source in USA TODAY all indications point to a pretty robust season for retailers, in fact we spent 19% more over this past holiday weekend than in the same period in 2005. Apparently there was some moola left in the wallets of more than 140 million Americans who were shopping over the Thanksgiving holiday. Despite all the negatives we hear in the media the bigger picture seems to indicate that we are pretty well off.

Have a great week, embrace this holiday season and ENJOY, LIFE IS GOOD!

Gary A. Nathan

Thursday, November 16, 2006

Great Investment

The Wall Street Journal recently reported that the supply of homes for sale in October has declined in most markets, that is a positive sign for sellers; usually the reverse is true. Inventories do remain above year-earlier levels but the latest data confirms that the surplus is on the decline. Part of the decline may be do to the fact that some sellers are taking their homes off the market and waiting to re-enter when pricing is more in line with their expectations.

For the most part we know that home ownership is a safe and secure way to invest and to build long-term wealth. According to statistics in a recent National Assn. of Realtors publication the price of homes bought ten years ago has increased 88 percent. The number of households is expected to increase 15 percent during the next 10 years thus creating a continued high demand for homes.

The large inventory probably won’t last long, housing prices are forecasted to post positive gains, interest rates are comparable to 40-year lows and even our former Federal Reserve Chair, Alan Greenspan, said that housing prospects are looking up and that most of the negatives are probably behind us. Sounds like it may be a great time to buy a home.

Have a wonderful Thanksgiving holiday!

Enjoy, Life Is Good!

Gary A. Nathan

Thursday, November 09, 2006

How is Lake Frontage valued?

How is Lake Frontage valued?

A lake property is valued based on 4 primary factors: The first is the primary frontage – this is straight line frontage (not meandering) that is necessary for a build-able lot on the lake the lot is located on. The second factor is the “excess frontage”. Excess frontage is the straight line frontage that cannot be used as a separate build-able lot. The third factor is any improvements (i.e. home, garage, outbuildings). The 4th factor is additional acreage that is above average for the lake the property is located on (i.e. if the average lake parcel is 1.5 acres, a property with 4.5 acres would have extra value in the additional 3 acres over and above the norm for the lake).

One of the myths of lake frontage value is that each foot is worth the same. Market data has consistently shown that value of excess frontage is approximately 40% of the value of primary frontage – this is why township assessors use this formula to apply market and taxable values to lake properties. Here is an example based on $4,500/ foot frontage on Round Lake (that is what exceptional frontage on Round Lake has sold for over the past year). Let’s say there are two new very desirable lake lots for sale on Round Lake. One has 199’ of straight line frontage, the other has 200’. The one with 199’ is valued at $628,200 and the one with ONE EXTRA FOOT is valued at $900,000 – a $271,800 difference for one extra foot of frontage. The reason is that the 200’ lot can be subdivided into two build-able lots (this example assumes this lot has enough square footage to divide it into two lots), and the 199’ lot cannot be divided into two build-able lake lots no matter how many square feet it has. This is information every lake property owner needs to know especially those who are in the process of determining a list price for their lake property and/or those who are looking to purchase new lake property.

Different lakes in our County have different classifications resulting in different minimum lot sizes, required lake front footage, lot line setbacks, etc… – this will be discussed in a future blog entry.

Life is Good...Enjoy!

Thursday, November 02, 2006

Memories

This past week I was reading the Historical Vignettes section of our infamous ‘Visitor”, Hayward’s original Visitor Magazine; the piece was a wonderful recap of the stories of the Chicago Club and Lakeshore Fishing Club. It was full of the memories of national regattas, dances, moon reflections on the lake, fishing and the guides who made those trips adventurous. There were anecdotes of the dreams, plans and ambitious building projects of the several owners and accounts of the guides, vacationing guests, parents, children and grandchildren. One guide said “The best part of my job was meeting all the interesting people and exchanging stories with the guests as well as the other guides”.

The best part of my work is meeting the many interesting people who want to be a part of this north woods experience; making their own memories and sharing those with family and friends.

Have a great weekend, make it memorable!

Enjoy, Life Is Good!


Gary A. Nathan

Thursday, October 26, 2006

No Guarantees

Investment in real estate is much like the stock market and many other investments, there are no guarantees of return. If you have had the privilege of making any investments lately you know there are a plethora of disclosures to read and sign. They all make you aware of the fact that you are making the decision to buy and/or invest on the basis of your own free will, no one encouraged you to invest and that no one is standing over you with an axe in hand.

Some stocks do well and some are a nightmare; the old “you win some and you lose some”. For some of us the losing was pretty painful. The upside to real estate, at least in our area, is that there has been little downside. True, if you overpaid you may get beat up. While there are no guarantees with real estate you at least get to enjoy living in it, walking on it or at the very least you get to look at it. I can’t say that I spend much time doing the same with my meager stock portfolio. Your thoughts?

Have a great weekend, I am traveling to warm North Dakota and western Minnesota to visit family. The national holiday is coming soon to northern Wisconsin…..the pursuit of the elusive 30-point buck!

Enjoy, Life Is Good!



Gary A.

Saturday, October 21, 2006

SOLID GROUND

SOLID GROUND

The housing market does appear to be on solid ground and the October forecasts from many different sources report that the recent cooling will have less than expected negative impact on the economy as a whole. August sales were definitely lower from a year earlier and there is a pretty large inventory.

Personally I think the media tends to report the extreme which has a negative affect on both buyers and sellers.
We consumers continue to spend and the falling energy prices and recent Dow Jones run has certainly triggered smiles.
Locally we just keep chugging along and much of the above translates into continued buyer interest; the forecast for the rest of the year and the first half of next year looks to be very good.

My advice to buyers is to not postpone their prospecting for that dream cabin, home or land. Historically speaking inventories are strong, mortgage rates are good and sellers are in the mood to sell.

Have a wonderful weekend……….

Enjoy, Life Is Good!


Gary A. Nathan
Woodland Developments & Realty
15617 Railroad Street, Hayward, WI 54843
715-634-2110
FAX 715-634-2884
nathan@woodlanddevrealty.com

Friday, September 29, 2006

A Great Opportunity

A Great Opportunity

We have all read and heard about the soft market and how “it is no longer a seller’s market” and home sales have fallen as well as new home starts. So if it isn’t a seller’s market it must be a buyer’s market. This may be the perfect time for buyers to take advantage of the large inventory of properties; it is certainly true that the inventory of lake homes and off-water homes is above last year’s level.

There are some other factors for buyers to take into consideration, there is an apparent lowering of prices on some homes coupled with mortgage rates at a stall and appearing to fall a little. Sellers are also offering interest rate buy-downs, sharing of closing costs, pricing incentives and even gifts like home warranties, house cleaning for six months and fishing boats. I personally like the fishing boat idea.

The good news for buyers is that all this may translate into being able to afford a house now that may have been a future dream as well as a large inventory from which to choose. Prices may not go any lower in the future but in most areas, particularly our area, properties are still appreciating at no less than 4-6 percent. Overall the next six months just may provide some great opportunities. My advice to sellers is to get dressed for the dance; translated that means get your property looking great.

The air is crisp and fresh in the mornings and the fall colors are at near peak so plan to spend some time in the Hayward area soon.

Have a great weekend and

Enjoy, Life is Good!


Gary A. Nathan

Thursday, September 21, 2006

Wealth…no small potatoes!

Wealth…no small potatoes!

This past week a friend of mine forwarded some information regarding a report on Wealth Transfer Analysis in Wisconsin. The overall publication was put out in 1999 by John Havens and Paul Schervish with Boston College. It is a pretty remarkable study and indicates that over the next 50 years there will be more than $41 trillion of US wealth transferred from the current generation to the next.

In Wisconsin estimates provide that there is about $543 billion in wealth with a projected 10 year wealth transfer of $105 billion. In Sawyer County the analysis indicates that current net worth is $1.93 billion (year 2000). Over the next 50 years the estimated inter-generational transfer of wealth will be $2.3 billion. When we look at the estimates for this decade the wealth transfer is estimated at $0.39 billion. No small potatoes!

The interesting part of this analysis is that if just 5% of the wealth could be captured into community endowments there would be nearly $20 million realized in this decade alone. Think of how that might translate into community betterment.

The entire report was prepared by the Rural Policy Research Institute, Nebraska Center and was commissioned and is supported by the Donor’s Forum of Wisconsin.

Don’t forget that this weekend is Fall Fest in Hayward with lots of arts, crafts, food, music and happenings going on, so come on up north and enjoy the beautiful fall colors. My guess is we are half-way into peak colors and the weather is always splendid.

Have a great weekend and….

Enjoy, Life is Good!

Gary A. Nathan

Thursday, September 14, 2006

Healthy but Slower

Healthy but Slower

The overall market locally continues to be healthy but sales have slowed; part of the slowdown is due to the fact that schools are back in session and this is traditionally a quieter period. However, history also shows that from late September to hunting season (a national holiday in the north woods of Wisconsin that occurs in late November) the market is pretty active.

The Sawyer County Record recently reported that demand for rural land and lakeshore property led the full market value of private property in Sawyer County. The figures reported by the Wisconsin Bureau of Assessments said that property values increased by 11.29 per cent over last year. Not bad when compared with many other investment opportunities.

The good part is that growth in equalized values does not necessarily translate into higher taxes, that according to Wisconsin Dept. of Revenue Secretary, Michael L. Morgan. He went on to say that Wisconsin homeowners will continue to reap the benefit of a strong Wisconsin economy and that home ownership remains a worthwhile investment.

I would agree with Mr. Morgan and add that our area is especially blessed because of the thousands of acres of water and woods. The market is slower but real estate in general is healthy in the north woods.

This weekend is the Chequamegon Fat Tire Race Festival, it features 2500 cyclists and the event has earned the title of “Nations Most Popular Off Road Bicycle Adventure”. Come on up to Hayward and enjoy a great weekend, the forecast is for sunny skies and warm temperatures. You guessed it; yours truly will be on the lake, beginning tonight, for some great floating and sunset views.

Enjoy, Life is Good!


Gary A. Nathan
Woodland Developments & Realty

Thursday, September 07, 2006

Another Perspective

I was just reading a few days ago in the Wall St. Journal about how investors on Wall St. are starting to invest again in Real Estate via REIT's and new home-builder securities. The rationale is we are most likely at the bottom of the market from a securities investment standpoint and that there is (probably) only upside remaining from these investments. The latest month to month data has new and existing home sales down 4% across most major markets. Many of the buyers I am working with have told me that the reason they are still buying lake property up here while their home markets are relatively soft real estate wise is the increased security of a real estate investment in our market vs. their home market. It seems that the ones with real estate dollars to spend are not willing to spend it on their existing or new home (still wondering if the bottom of the market has occured), however, they don't seem to mind spending it up here because they feel it is more secure (and, historical data illustrates that this is correct). So, perhaps less real estate dollars are being spent, however, when they are, they are being spent up here because of our historical stability and the fact that the buyer's can actually enjoy their real estate investment if made up here!
Chris McGrath

Thursday, August 31, 2006

What’s Happening in Real Estate?

What’s Happening in Real Estate?

That is a question we hear from both Buyers and Sellers who are asking about the current real estate market, and as one might expect we get all kinds of opinions from those same folks.

The answer depends upon whether we are talking about the national, regional or local market. It took nine months for the national media to report the housing slowdown that started in the summer of 2005; the popping of the residential housing bubble is not exactly new news and yet that is what many customers talk about.

In many of the hot markets it was the “investors” who drove the pricing and once they moved out of those areas the supply and demand for houses became more balanced. To a lesser degree we find that to be true in our local market however we do not experience the roller coaster type ride. Locally I continue to be very optimistic.

Buyers will always be fearful they are paying too much and sellers will be fearful they are leaving too much money on the table. What’s happening is that buyers are more careful in their search and discovery process, and are more patient as they go through the due diligence to be sure the property meets their needs and expectations. Sellers need to price their properties appropriately, provide loads of information to simplify the process for the buyers and stage their property in the best possible manner.

What’s happening locally is that we are blessed with thousands and thousands of acres of lakes, woods and fresh air which attract many great folks to the area. If you happen to be visiting this weekend, don’t miss the Rib and Brew Fest on Sunday in downtown Hayward. Forecast is for beautiful fall temperatures in the 70’s and a slight chance of wonderful rainfall. Have a great weekend!

Life Is Good, Enjoy!

Gary A. Nathan

Thursday, August 24, 2006

Wish I would have!

Hayward, WI Real Estate

Wish I would have!

How many times have you said “I wish I would have purchased that lake lot or lake home ten years ago”. Take a look at some real estate ads that a colleague in the office shared with me. These appeared in the 1971 Visitor Guide, a locally famous publication.

- 200 ft. lakefront lot on Lost Land Lake…only 9 of these most desirable lots remain; prices range from $7,500 to $9,000. Terms available.

- Cottage on Lac Courte Oreillies, furnished and located on 200 ft. of the finest sand beach lakeshore on one of the largest natural lakes in the State. Asking price $20,500; terms available.

- Cottage on Little Round Lake; 150 ft. frontage (with additional 50 ft. available); lot is very deep, insuring privacy. Household goods included. Asking price $18,000.

- New 2-Bedroom Cottage on Lost Land Lake situated on a 200 ft. lot with beautiful view of the lake. Asking price is $16,500

- Resort on the Chippewa Flowage includes 9 housekeeping cabins; lodge with beer bar. 3-bedroom home for owner’s living quarters. Price $85,000.

Well, I don’t even want to begin to share what 200 ft. of the finest sand beach lakeshore would be on Lac Courte Oreilles today, unless I owned some of course. Yours truly was not here in 1971 but I did arrive in 1980 and could have purchased a beautiful lot on Lac Courte Oreilles for $85,000; no, shame on me I did not. So what is my point? Draw your own conclusions because I do not have a crystal ball. Congratulations to those of you who had the foresight to buy in 1971 and 1980 and to those who have made great lakeshore purchases over the years. I do know that we enjoyed another beautiful sunset float on Grindstone Lake last night; come and join us sometime.

We had a refreshing overnight rainfall and the forecast is for more sun, warm and the possibility of some wonderful rain later this week. Have a great weekend and don’t forget about the Fat Tire Race on Saturday, September 15.

Life is Good!

Gary A. Nathan

Thursday, August 17, 2006

“Hay-chi”

Hayward, WI Real Estate

“Hay-chi”

All across the US there are planned “wellness” communities popping up that are working to create a wellness culture, a place where you can immerse yourself in a life-prolonging atmosphere of health. They go beyond nice golf courses, spas and gyms; it’s more like a west coast, nutrition retreat center with planned outings and your own personal trainer. There is a place in the Napa Valley that is doing ai-chi, a water movement and relaxation exercise in the pool and a hike to the cabernet vineyard which is pretty appealing to me. This is all good stuff by the way.

Hay-chi is our comprehensive approach to a culture of wellness in the Hayward area. By just living here you can have a big impact on your health by breathing fresh air, drinking fresh water (yes, there are even those who have supped right out of our lakes) canoe, boat, kayak and fish rivers and lakes, hike, bike, ski and roller blade our miles and miles of trails and roads, rock-climb, golf, play tennis, chase deer, swim in clear-water glacial lakes or just sit and watch breathlessly beautiful sunsets. If you insist on having your bone density checked or be put on a diet I can set you up with one of my good doctor or nutritionist friends.

For those who want to maintain a healthy lifestyle, the Hayward area may be just the place for you; we didn’t really plan it that way nor can we take any credit, we just happen to be uniquely positioned in an area where we can capture much of what others are trying to create.

The forecast is wonderfully boring; sunshine, warm temperatures, a pop-up shower or two and still waters for evening boat floats. Have a great weekend!

Life is Good!

Gary A. Nathan

Thursday, August 10, 2006

No Shift Shock

No Shift Shock

While I watch very little television there is an auto ad that has the catchy phrase “all power with no shift shock”. There is much in the news about the Fed and interest rates, the oil pipeline in Alaska, gasoline prices, surging energy costs and the ever present weather reports. All of this, and other world events, has an affect on how we feel and react with respect to the purchase of real estate.

What gets little in the way of headlines are reports like these: Freddie Mac recently reported that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage fell last week and is just 90 basis points above the rate at this time last year. Despite higher inventories, existing home values nationwide continue to grow; the median selling price for existing single-family homes was up 4.3% from a year earlier. The National Assn. Realtors (NAR) reported that U.S. home sales are simply settling into a slower, more “normal” pace, and that’s actually healthier for the long term housing market. Pending home sales – a leading indicator for the housing sector – have risen for the last two months according to the NAR. Not real interesting compared to major events across the world.

Events around the world certainly affect us and there are bumps in the road, but overall we don’t seem to experience a real estate “shift shock”. Real estate is cyclical and hopefully we will remain on a steady course.

Have a great weekend; the forecast here is more of the same: sunny, warm and perfect lake weather!

Life is Good!

Gary A. Nathan

Thursday, July 27, 2006

Boomers Are Buying Second Homes

“Boomers Are Buying Second Homes”

Greetings!

Our summer continues to heat up both from a weather and real estate sales perspective; activity has been pretty brisk.

Earlier this year it was reported by a real estate trade association that American baby boomers bought a record number of second homes for vacation and investment last year, it amounted to nearly 40% of total homes sales in 2005. Interestingly about 33% of 2005 vacation home purchases occurred in the Midwest, followed by 30% in the South, 20% in the West and 17% in the Northeast.

In our local school district sales of “waterfront homes/cabins” per the MLS have increased by approximately 5% for the trailing 12 months over the previous 12 month period from ’04-’05. This “boomer trend” is unlikely to reverse soon even though there has been a broader housing slowdown; baby boomers are at the peak of their earning potential so they should continue to drive second-home sales. Part of this is due to the fact that interest rates have remained tolerable (for those of us who remember the double digit years!) and people want to diversify their investments and enjoy the use of it as well.

Have a wonderful weekend; our forecast is for more warm summer temperatures. If you are in the area the Lumberjack World Championships are being held this weekend right here in Hayward, home of ‘world class events”.

Life is Good!

Gary A. Nathan
Summer has really heated up in Hayward; our days have had temperatures in the 80-95 degree range and not much in the way of clouds or rain. Wednesday night was the most spectacular on the lake this year, the moon was full and orange, the sky filled with stars and the lake was like glass. It was a great night for star gazing and satellite tracking. My wife commented that we live in paradise.

The real estate market has heated up as well; the phones are ringing, showings are up, deals are flowing and closings are happening. This morning I spoke with all three title companies in Hayward and two of the three indicated closings were either up or consistent with the same period last year. From my perspective I think our real estate market is steady, growing and normal for our area. In early writings I indicated that our local real estate market typically does not suffer from the severe changes one might see in the coastal areas or larger metro markets.

Most would say that the overall national real estate market is in a moderate and orderly cooling trend; in comparison and from my perspective our market is in a steady and orderly warm trend. We don’t sizzle hot and we don’t get froze out (well, in January it does get pretty cold here), our little piece of paradise has remained pretty comfortable.

Have a wonderful weekend; yours truly is going to head for the lake and a family reunion. Forecast is for sunny, hot and challenging fishing.

Enjoy, Life is Good!

Friday, July 07, 2006

Condos

Gas prices are pretty unfriendly but it hasn’t slowed the traffic in our little area of the world; perhaps it’s our near perfect weather the past many weeks that keeps folks coming to the north woods. The weather has been friendly to real estate as well as the deal flow has picked up.

One sector that has been very good in our area is the condominium market. Sales of existing condominiums have set records throughout certain areas of the nation; regionally condo sales were relatively flat during the past year while the nationwide condominium market has kept up with record-breaking, single family home sales. While sales of condos in our area is lower than other areas of the country, their popularity the past 1-2 years has spiked up more than in the western or southern part of the U.S. Sales have been solid in our area and continue to be actively strong especially for waterfront condos.

It should be no surprise that sales are strong on the waterfront since our area is a destination for those who want a piece of the north woods and the opportunity to enjoy our pristine lakes. Condos on the water usually provide a much more affordable way to have a piece of heaven. More and more baby boomers who spend time in the warm climates during the winter months also want to continue to have their summer lake get-away; no surprise that they want it without the hassle of keeping up the yard, painting or worrying about other maintenance issues. Waterfront condos are a great solution.

There are currently six off-water condo developments in the Hayward area that range in price from $149,000 per unit to over $299,500 and several on-water condo projects that have a unit price range from $54,900 to $435,000. Last year sales of 40 condo on-water units in the Hayward School District averaged $232,228; the mean price was $210,450. The year prior there were 37 sales at an average of $183,805; the mean was $127,500. The off-water sales average and mean are very close at approximately $170,000 per unit. It will be no surprise if sales continue strong as baby boomers look to make life easier; I should know…I am one.

Have a great weekend; the forecast here is for sunny skies, warm weather and good fishing!

Life is good.

Thursday, June 29, 2006

Vacant Land

The stock market last week acted pretty crazy and everyone scrambled around until a bunch of stocks got killed, for no reason from my perspective. That’s why I like real estate, especially real estate in an area that I know and have lived in most of my adult life.

Last week I talked about our unique real estate market in the Hayward area; this week we are going to take a look at the “hottest” part of the market in terms of real estate sales.

What is it? Vacant land! Both off-water and on-water lots and larger parcels have maintained strong sales in terms of numbers and dollar volume in the greater Hayward area. In just Sawyer County and the Hayward School District sales have topped $5 million for the trailing twelve months; 100 parcels with average sales of just above $49,000. For the same period last year sales on 94 parcels were slightly above $4 million for an average of about $43,000. Both years exceeded the prior year and the prior year….well you get the drift.

On-water lots for the past twelve months continues strong with sales of more that $7 million for an average of $170,000; the twelve months prior was especially good with more than $9.3 million in sales with an average sale of $155,850. Going forward there will be less and less available lake shore and prices will continue to move upward.

That said, it is easy to understand why off-water property has become a major sector, you get a good bang for your buck, privacy and the opportunity to drag your boat to any one of the crystal clear lakes of our area without paying the higher taxes. For those who do not recreate on the water or fish there are some great neighborhoods, like “The Brook”, being developed for the quiet sports folks and those who come to our area just to relax.

Next week find out about another hot sector in our real estate market.

Forecast here is sunny, warm and dry with plenty of clean air to breath and north woods to explore and lakes to enjoy! Make it a great weekend and have a Happy July 4th.

Life is good!

Thursday, June 22, 2006

Hayward Real Estate Market

The housing market in the US has seen its biggest boom in history; prices have been really amazing. As a nation the housing market has flattened and that is somewhat the case in the Hayward area as well. BUT, it is unlikely that we will have a severe downturn as is the case in certain other parts of the country. In my twenty-six years of living in this area I have found that this market is far more resilient and stable; we see less severe swings in pricing and it is rare to see degradation in home values, particularly lake home properties. Another reason for our market stability is due to the fact that our pool of buyers come from a 14+ million person market (Chicago, Twin Cities, Milwaukee/Madison, etc...) and that we only have 545 active waterfront listings in all of Sawyer County (vacant waterfront lots and lake homes). The Hayward area property values typically move upward over a few years, flatten out for a period and then begin to climb again; it’s a market that just has not suffered severe downturns.

We live in an area that is blessed with fresh air, crystal clear lakes and tens of thousands of acres of forest land, much of which is owned by the Federal, State and local County governments, which of course translated means we own it. Our market is unique, we are an end-user market; there is less speculation buying in our area, it is more driven by demand for lake shore properties and vacant land. People come to this area for the “experience”; a life away from the hassles of traffic, congestion, noise and the fast-paced-life that is so often a part of larger metropolitan areas. Living in the Hayward area, which includes all of Sawyer and parts of Washburn, Bayfield and Douglas counties, is like having your “up-north dream come true”. Often I feel that we sell a life experience as much as we sell real estate.

Boomers and Gen X’ers have money (they are going to inherit a bunch more wealth), they have prospered and they are buying vacation, second homes and vacant lands in increasing numbers; I don’t expect that to change anytime soon. Unless the broader market collapses we should continue to enjoy a relatively stable real estate market in our area.

Next week: What’s Hot?